Saturday, April 16, 2011

My WESTERN Conference predictions revisited


WEST

Formula*
Team Name – Predicted games won - Actual games won = + or – from expected total

San Antonio – 54 – 61 = +7
LA Lakers –   66 – 57 = -9
Dallas –          62 – 57 = -5
Oklahoma –   56 – 55 = -1
Denver –        50 – 50 = 0
Portland –       47 – 48 = +1
New Orleans – 46 – 46 = 0
Memphis –     44 – 46 = +2
Houston –      48 – 43 = -5
Phoenix –       50 – 40 = -10
Utah –             55 – 39 = -16
Golden State – 44 – 36 = -8
LA Clippers – 46 – 32 = -14
Sacramento –  42 – 24 = -18
Minnesota –    23 – 17 = -6

My Deviation, and why
Denver – 0            Of all predictions this one is most baffling that I got right.
New Orleans -0     Chris Paul’s return was a spark, not quite 50 though.
Oklahoma -1             Durant didn’t translate his Gold success, but Russ stepped up
Portland +1              Consider that extra game a flukey Batum
Memphis +2            Solid, under the radar, in the playoffs. A surprise.
Dallas -5            Injuries to Caron Butler overcome by a deep bench
Houston -5            Yao’s fragility was supposed in my prediction, but out so soon?
Minnesota -6            It looked like Beas would break out, but worst record overall?
San Antonio +7       Would have been even higher if not for late-season slide
Golden State -8          Lee was solid, Curry wasn’t consistent, Monta underappreciated
LA Lakers -9            A ‘weird’ team that would go through highs and lows
Phoenix -10            50 wins has been standard for the Suns, but they’re clearly downtrending
LA Clippers -14          Gordon’s injury hurt, shouldn’t have traded Baron. Blake=savior
Utah -16             Blown up hard. First Sloan, then D-Will. Rebuild time
Sacramento -18        Honestly it was a bonehead move to predict the Kings winning 42 games and finishing above .500, but I’m just so sold on Tyreke Evans. Fransisco Garcia is a player that always disappears, but I figured Tyreke would make up for it. Tyreke had an injury-riddled season, but did sink the season’s  best shot. Dalembert and Cousins were a promising frontcourt duo, but I’ve heard negative things about their attitudes, unfortunately. Now the Kings look poised to relocate, and the future of basketball in Sac-town looks bleak. 

*All predictions based on my own expectations as of October 26, 2010

Western Conference Depth Charts - All Players of All WEST teams

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