Friday, April 15, 2011

My EASTERN Conference predictions revisited


EAST
Formula*
Team Name – Predicted games won - Actual games won = + or – from expected total

Chicago –   54 – 62 = +8
Miami –      70 – 58 = -12
Boston –     56 – 56 = 0
Orlando –    61 – 52 = -9
Atlanta –     48 – 44 = -4
New York – 41 – 42 = +1
Philadelphia – 40 – 41 = +1
Indiana –      37 – 37 = 0
Milwaukee – 55 – 35 = -20
Charlotte –   43 – 34 = -9
Detroit –       40 – 30 = -10
New Jersey – 39 – 24 = -15
Washington – 35 – 23 = -12
Toronto –       27 – 22 = -5
Cleveland –   30 – 19 = -11

My Deviation, and why
Boston – 0            I knew they would have a good record, not quite 60 wins
Indiana – 0            Figured they’d be middle of the pack, didn’t see them in the playoffs
New York +1             The addition of Carmelo helped and also hindered, a net even
Philadelphia +1     They hit .500, just about what I thought
Atlanta -4            Lost a few more close games than I thought they would
Toronto -5            Injuries robbed the Raps, they could have had 27 wins easy
Chicago +8            Better than I, and most, expected. Rose emerges as MVP?
Orlando -9            The trade shook things up, in a weird way. Gilbert?
Charlotte -9            Lost some ground, miss playoffs, lose Gerald Wallace and Felton
Detroit -10            Didn’t gel if they had they may be ten games better
Cleveland -11            Extected them to be bad, but that 26 game losing streak hurt
Miami -12               70 was a bit high, didn’t match last years’ Cavs record
Washington -12             Injuries, laziness, and Gilbert robbed this promising young team
New Jersey -15            The Melo-drama went way too long
Milwaukee -20            I expected big things from this Milwaukee club this year, they are my biggest letdown, losing twenty full games less than I expected. Jennings didn’t reach that next level, Bogut was limited in his return and the wing group of Salmons, Maggette, Gooden, Mbah a Moute, and Carlos Delfino underperformed. Michael Redd missed the season. Fear the deer no more, but maybe next year.

*All predictions based on my own expectations as of October 26, 2010


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